Analyze the Odds goes last to first in NY Breeders’ Futurity

Saturday, September 30th, 2017

SV Photography

By Sarah Mace

Shipping west Saturday to Finger Lakes Gaming and Racetrack for owner Mike Repole and trainer Todd Pletcher, Analyze the Odds unleashed a powerful last-to-first rally in the stretch to win the 55th running of the six-furlong, $216,875 New York Breeders’ Futurity by a neck over Mr. Pete, winner of the Aspirant Stakes on September 9.

Following a good break for all six 2-year-olds, the field settled into a clearly demarcated “first flight” and “second flight” separated by two lengths.

In the first flight, 3-2 favorite Indy’s Lady, winner of the Lady Finger Stakes on September 9 in her career debut and the lone filly in the field, vied for the lead with maiden Collective Effort (7-2) and Lover’s Leap (10-1) through a 22.87 opening quarter and 46.80 half. Mr. Pete and Tender Boy followed two lengths back. Analyze the Odds, 5-2 at post time under Chris DeCarlo, was outrun early and brought up the rear.

Analyze the Odds picked up steam rounding the far turn and fanned wide at the head of the stretch to rally on the grandstand side.

The bay colt passed his first two rivals approaching the furlong marker. Building on his momentum under a drive, Analyze the Odds passed the remaining three horses in the shadow of the wire for the neck victory. Another neck back, the next two New York-bred juveniles across the line – Collective Effort and Aspirant runner-up Lover’s Leap – were also separated by just a neck. The final time for six furlongs was 1:12.73 over a fast track. [VIDEO REPLAY]

SV Photography

Analyze the Odds, who has earned $204,625 from two wins and a third in five starts, won his unveiling early in the year, taking an open 4 1/2-furlong maiden special weight at Aqueduct on April 20 with a professional rating trip. Unplaced in the open Tremont at Belmont on June 9 and third in the Rockville Centre at the same venue, he finished fourth behind Aveenu Malcainu in the Funny Cide, his only Saratoga appearance.

Aveenu Malcainu, who was entered for New York Breeders’ Futurity by trainer Jeremiah Englehart, scratched from the race, scheduled make his next start instead next weekend in the Grade 1, $500,000 Champagne Stakes.

The first foal out of The Sense Angel, Analyze the Odds was bred by Lansdowne Thoroughbreds and foaled at Saratoga Glen Farm in Schuylerville. Repole Stable purchased Analyze the Odds, who is by Repole stallion Overanalyze, for just $15,000 at the 2016 Fasig-Tipton Kentucky October yearling sale.

A winning daughter of Mineshaft, The Sense Angel has a yearling colt by Noble Mission (GB), a weanling colt by Honorable Dillon and was bred this year to Animal Kingdom. The family tree includes El Gran Senor and Castle Gandolfo.


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